• DocumentCode
    3313035
  • Title

    Scientific scale of reliability

  • Author

    Knezevic, Jezdimir

  • Author_Institution
    MIRCE Akademy, Exeter, UK
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    14-16 Dec. 2010
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    7
  • Abstract
    Reliability Theory, since it\´s beginnings in 1950s, has been based on mathematical theorems rather then on scientific theories. Massive attempts where made to further applications of the existing mathematical and statistical methods and analysis without attempts for understanding "failure mechanics". Then, in 1980s, practicing reliability engineers and analysts, who have neither ability nor need to understand the mathematics, turned to what they have had, which is enormous practical experience of the observed failure modes of existing systems. Thus, a large number of "practical reliability methods" have been developed and used, all of which were based on the failure mode, effect and criticality analysis, but still without understanding and addressing failure mechanics. Consequently, during the last 50 years the Reliability Theory made very little progress, a part from a few exceptions, in the direction of becoming the science, in terms of making accurate predictions that could be confirmed with practical observations. The reason is very simple; neither statistics, which does not study causes of statistical behaviour, nor engineers whose "applied methods" were focused on meeting contractual and legal requirements, were able to provide a fertile ground for the development of reliability.
  • Keywords
    failure (mechanical); mathematical analysis; reliability theory; statistical analysis; failure mechanics; mathematical methods; mathematical theorems; reliability theory; scientific scale of reliability; scientific theories; statistical methods; Failure analysis; Impurities; Materials; Neutrons; Redundancy;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Reliability, Safety and Hazard (ICRESH), 2010 2nd International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Mumbai
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-8344-0
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICRESH.2010.5779538
  • Filename
    5779538