DocumentCode
3324765
Title
Improvement of input-output correlations of electric power load forecasting by scatter search
Author
Mizutani, Akihiro ; Yukawa, Tetsuya ; Numa, Kazuyuki ; Kuze, Yasuhito ; Iizaka, Tatsuya ; Yamagishi, Toshiyuki ; Matsui, Tetsuro ; Fukuyama, Yoshikazu
Author_Institution
Chubu Electr. Power Co., Inc., Nagoya-shi
fYear
2005
fDate
6-10 Nov. 2005
Abstract
This paper proposes an improving method of input-output correlations of forecasting system for electric power load by scatter search. We have developed electric power load forecasting methods using weather information at Nagoya city. For high accuracy of forecasting, input-output correlations of forecasting system must be improved using weather information of other areas. Weighted average weather information at many cities is utilized for realizing high accuracy of load forecasting. The weight rates are optimized for the highest correlation between weighted average weather information and electric power demands by scatter search. The simulation results reveal the effectiveness of the proposed method
Keywords
climatology; correlation methods; demand side management; load forecasting; power system simulation; search problems; artificial neural network; electric power demands; electric power load forecasting; forecasting system; input-output correlations; scatter search; weather information; Artificial neural networks; Cities and towns; Economic forecasting; Load forecasting; Power supplies; Power system reliability; Power system simulation; Scattering; Statistical analysis; Weather forecasting;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Intelligent Systems Application to Power Systems, 2005. Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on
Conference_Location
Arlington, VA
Print_ISBN
1-59975-174-7
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ISAP.2005.1599302
Filename
1599302
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