Military keynote address: military simulation: where we are and where we ought to be going

I plan to present my perspectives on several challenges and opportunities facing the simulation community. These include the burden of “model centric” approaches in analysis, observations on High Level Architecture (HLA) what it is doing and not doing, the challenge of representing asymmetric and nonlinear conflict, and perspectives on the new arena of joint warfare experimentation. “Model centricity” results in part from the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) over the last five years or so on increasing use and integration of simulation in acquisition, training and analysis. Simulation seems to be doing well in the acquisition and training communities. But in the analysis community, I submit that simulation may have reached the point of diminishing returns. Not only is simulation a ponderous method of analysis, it is not well-suited to exploring the unknown, which is what we face in the analysis community these days