• DocumentCode
    3351443
  • Title

    Theory of grey systems and its application in electric load forecasting

  • Author

    Peirong, Ji ; Juan, Chen ; Wenchen, Zheng

  • Author_Institution
    Coll. of Electr. Eng. & Inf. Technol., China Three Gorges Univ., Yichang
  • fYear
    2008
  • fDate
    21-24 Sept. 2008
  • Firstpage
    1374
  • Lastpage
    1378
  • Abstract
    In this paper, the basic concept of the grey system theory and the modeling of the grey system are introduced briefly. Based on the analysis of the characteristics of GM(1,1) model, Unbiased GM(1,1) model is proposed here. The comparison of GM(1,1) model and unbiased GM(1,1) model is given, the results of comparison show that Unbiased GM(1,1) model is better than GM(1,1) model. In the final part of the paper, Unbiased GM(1,1) model is used to do electric load forecasting.
  • Keywords
    grey systems; load forecasting; GM(1,1) model; electric load forecasting; grey system theory; Agriculture; Calculus; Educational institutions; Electrical engineering; History; Information technology; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Predictive models; Transportation; GM(1,1) model; Unbiased GM(1,1) model; grey system; load forecasting;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Cybernetics and Intelligent Systems, 2008 IEEE Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Chengdu
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-1673-8
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-1674-5
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICCIS.2008.4670877
  • Filename
    4670877