• DocumentCode
    3357636
  • Title

    Price Forecasting Based on PSO Train BP Neural Network

  • Author

    He, Yong Gui ; Bo, Li

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Econ. Manage., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    27-31 March 2009
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    4
  • Abstract
    In this paper, the basic idea is to use percent of reserve capacity, the historical load and price to forecast short-term electricity price .The paper provides an example of bidding model to forecast market clear price using BP neural network trained by PSO. To compare with the result of traditional BP neural network, the proposed method has better forecasting precision and can convergence to global optimal solution at all times.
  • Keywords
    backpropagation; convergence; neural nets; particle swarm optimisation; power engineering computing; power markets; power system economics; pricing; PSO train BP neural network; bidding model; convergence; electricity market; market clear price; price forecasting; reserve capacity; Economic forecasting; Electricity supply industry; Energy management; Load forecasting; Management training; Neural networks; Power generation; Predictive models; Recurrent neural networks; Time series analysis;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Power and Energy Engineering Conference, 2009. APPEEC 2009. Asia-Pacific
  • Conference_Location
    Wuhan
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2486-3
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2487-0
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/APPEEC.2009.4918628
  • Filename
    4918628