DocumentCode
3357636
Title
Price Forecasting Based on PSO Train BP Neural Network
Author
He, Yong Gui ; Bo, Li
Author_Institution
Dept. of Econ. Manage., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding
fYear
2009
fDate
27-31 March 2009
Firstpage
1
Lastpage
4
Abstract
In this paper, the basic idea is to use percent of reserve capacity, the historical load and price to forecast short-term electricity price .The paper provides an example of bidding model to forecast market clear price using BP neural network trained by PSO. To compare with the result of traditional BP neural network, the proposed method has better forecasting precision and can convergence to global optimal solution at all times.
Keywords
backpropagation; convergence; neural nets; particle swarm optimisation; power engineering computing; power markets; power system economics; pricing; PSO train BP neural network; bidding model; convergence; electricity market; market clear price; price forecasting; reserve capacity; Economic forecasting; Electricity supply industry; Energy management; Load forecasting; Management training; Neural networks; Power generation; Predictive models; Recurrent neural networks; Time series analysis;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Power and Energy Engineering Conference, 2009. APPEEC 2009. Asia-Pacific
Conference_Location
Wuhan
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-2486-3
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-2487-0
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/APPEEC.2009.4918628
Filename
4918628
Link To Document