• DocumentCode
    3364732
  • Title

    Study on Intelligent Optimization Model Based on Grey Relational Grade in Long–Medium Term Power Load Rolling Forecasting

  • Author

    Niu, Dong-xiao ; Jia, Jian-rong ; Lv, Jia-liang ; Zhang, Yuan

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Bus. Adm., NCEPU, Beijing
  • fYear
    2008
  • fDate
    4-6 Nov. 2008
  • Firstpage
    227
  • Lastpage
    232
  • Abstract
    According to the low sample and multifactor impact for long-medium term power load forecasting, the grey relational grade was used in screening factors, the combined model in BP neural network and SVM was established, and the multivariate variables and history load variables were used to roll prediction. The combined predictive values are obviously better than single method. Empirical study showed that the method in this paper is superior to conventional method, so it is worth to be extended and applied.
  • Keywords
    backpropagation; grey systems; load forecasting; neural nets; optimisation; power engineering computing; support vector machines; BP neural network; SVM; grey relational grade; intelligent optimization model; long-medium term power load forecasting; power load rolling forecasting; Economic forecasting; Fitting; Intelligent networks; Load forecasting; Neural networks; Power system planning; Predictive models; Research and development management; Risk management; Support vector machines; BP neural network; Grey relational grade; Power load forecasting; SVM;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Risk Management & Engineering Management, 2008. ICRMEM '08. International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Beijing
  • Print_ISBN
    978-0-7695-3402-2
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.32
  • Filename
    4673231