Title :
Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Based on Fuzzy-RBF Neutral Network
Author :
Jia Zheng-yuan ; Tian Li
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Bus. Adm., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing
Abstract :
The paper proposes short-term power load forecasting model based on fuzzy RBF neural network, it has overcome the BP algorithm´s disadvantage of slow convergence rate and it fall into partially the smallest insufficiency easily. RBF network model in the use of the latest neighborhood clustering algorithm, and the network structure and the parameters are double-adjusted and the training speed and forecast accuracy are improved. The examples also show that the model can improve forecast accuracy effectively, reducing the error of load forecasting, and the inherent defects of BP neural network have been avoid.
Keywords :
fuzzy neural nets; load forecasting; power engineering computing; radial basis function networks; forecast accuracy; fuzzy-RBF neutral network; neighborhood clustering algorithm; network structure; short-term power load forecasting; training speed; Clustering algorithms; Convergence; Feedforward systems; Fuzzy logic; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Neural networks; Power system modeling; Predictive models; Radial basis function networks; Fuzzy-RBF; Neural network; RBF; Short-term power load forecast;
Conference_Titel :
Risk Management & Engineering Management, 2008. ICRMEM '08. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Beijing
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3402-2
DOI :
10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.41