Title :
A new method to choose the threshold in the POT model
Author :
Xiangxian, Zhang
Author_Institution :
Inst. of Manage. Sci. & Eng., HeNan Univ., Kaifeng, China
Abstract :
The selection of an appropriate threshold is one of the main concerns about the POT (Peaks Over Threshold) model, which is widely used in many fields, such as in insurance and environmental analysis. In this article, a new method which is based on the MSE criterion and two-sample K-S tests is proposed to determine the optimal threshold in the POT model. Different from the traditional subjective methods, the proposed method can determine the threshold by quantification, and is easy to be implemented by a computer program. An empirical study using the daily returns of S&P 500 index is also presented. It´s shown that the proposed method can well capture the optimal threshold. This electronic document is a ¿live¿ template. The various components of your paper [title, text, heads, etc.] are already defined on the style sheet, as illustrated by the portions given in this document.
Keywords :
document handling; mean square error methods; K-S tests; MSE criterion; Peaks Over Threshold model; electronic document; optimal threshold; style sheet; Biomedical engineering; Conference management; Engineering management; Head; Insurance; Maximum likelihood estimation; Pareto analysis; Statistical distributions; Tail; Testing; MSE; POT; Threshold selection; Two-sample K-S Tests;
Conference_Titel :
BioMedical Information Engineering, 2009. FBIE 2009. International Conference on Future
Conference_Location :
Sanya
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4690-2
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4692-6
DOI :
10.1109/FBIE.2009.5405916