DocumentCode :
3397378
Title :
Wind Power Prediction Based on BPNN and LSA
Author :
Li, Mei ; Pan, Yanhong
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Mech. & Electr. Eng., China Jiliang Univ., Hangzhou, China
fYear :
2012
fDate :
27-29 March 2012
Firstpage :
1
Lastpage :
5
Abstract :
Wind power is a very universal power generation technology in recent years. China´s wind power technology has come to large-scale development stage. Because of its intermittence, instability, hard-predictability, especially when it parallels in the whole grid, it can bring great influence to the stability and safety of the whole power grid. In order to solve the problem of wind power, it is necessary to predict wind power. There are two commonly used methods. Through the forecasted wind speed on BP neural network (BPNN) prediction methods, combining with the wind speed and power, the paper conducted wind-power prediction. Another is directly power prediction based on the speed and power data. Applying least-square regression analysis, the results of relationships of speed, temperature and power can be easily achieved. What´s more, this paper applied time-sequence method in preliminary wind speed prediction. With SPSS software, this paper mapped the changing characteristics of the sequence.
Keywords :
backpropagation; least squares approximations; neural nets; power engineering computing; power grids; regression analysis; wind power plants; BPNN; China wind power technology; LSA; SPSS software; backpropagation neural network prediction methods; large-scale development stage; least-square regression analysis; power grid safety; power grid stability; time-sequence method; universal power generation technology; wind power prediction; Educational institutions; Forecasting; Power system stability; Time series analysis; Training; Wind power generation; Wind speed;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC), 2012 Asia-Pacific
Conference_Location :
Shanghai
ISSN :
2157-4839
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4577-0545-8
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/APPEEC.2012.6307572
Filename :
6307572
Link To Document :
بازگشت