Title :
Broadband access network competition-analysis of technology and market risks
Author :
Stordahl, Kjell ; Ims, Leif Aarthun ; Elnegaard, Nils Kristian ; Azevedo, Fernando ; Olsen, Borgar Torre
Author_Institution :
Telenor Network, Oslo, Norway
Abstract :
The paper shows how risk methodology developed in the European projects TITAN (Tool for Introduction strategies and Techno-economic evaluation of Access Network) and OPTIMUM (Optimised Network Architectures for multimedia Services) can be applied for evaluation of Various broadband access network upgrade strategies for public network operators (PNOs) and cable operators in a competitive environment in the residential and small business market. The effect of uncertainties in predictions of critical parameters such as demand forecasts, market shares and cost predictions are analysed. The assessed technology options include broadband twisted pair modems, hybrid fibre coax networks and ATM-based passive optical networks. The results show that the uncertainty in the few market parameters contribute relatively more to the uncertainty in the final economic evaluation than the uncertainty in the large number of cost components
Keywords :
ISDN; asynchronous transfer mode; broadband networks; business communication; cable television; costing; economics; hybrid fibre coax networks; modems; multimedia communication; optical fibre subscriber loops; research initiatives; twisted pair cables; ATM-based passive optical networks; European projects; FTTB; ISDN; OPTIMUM; Optimised Network Architectures for multimedia Services; POTS; TITAN; broadband access network competition; broadband access network upgrade strategies; broadband twisted pair modems; cable TV; cable operators; cost components; cost predictions; demand forecasts; economic evaluation; hybrid fibre coax networks; market parameters; market risks; market shares; public network operators; residential market; risk methodology; small business market; techno-economic evaluation; technology options; Coaxial components; Costs; Demand forecasting; Economic forecasting; Hybrid fiber coaxial cables; Modems; Optical fiber cables; Optical fiber networks; Optimization methods; Uncertainty;
Conference_Titel :
Global Telecommunications Conference, 1998. GLOBECOM 1998. The Bridge to Global Integration. IEEE
Conference_Location :
Sydney,NSW
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-4984-9
DOI :
10.1109/GLOCOM.1998.776913
