Title :
Short term load forecasting by ANN
Author :
Azadeh, A. ; Ghadrei, S.F. ; Nokhandan, B. Pourvalikhan
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Ind. Eng., Univ. of Tehran, Tehran
fDate :
March 30 2009-April 2 2009
Abstract :
Short-term load forecasting (STLF) accuracy is very important for the power system. This study explores the application of neural networks to study the design of short-term load forecasting systems for electricity market of Iran. In this paper, two seasonal artificial neural networks (ANNs) are designed and compared; so that model 2 (hourly load forecasting model) is partitioning of model 1 (daily load forecasting model). Our study based on feed-forward back propagation is trained and tested using three years (2003-2005) data. At the end, extensive data sets test the results; and good agreement is founded between actual data and NN results. Results show that daily forecasting model is better than the hourly one.
Keywords :
backpropagation; feedforward neural nets; load forecasting; power engineering computing; artificial neural networks; feedforward back propagation; power system; short term load forecasting systems; Artificial neural networks; Economic forecasting; Electricity supply industry; Feedforward systems; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Power system modeling; Power system security; Predictive models; Testing; ANN; STLF; feed-forward back propagation;
Conference_Titel :
Hybrid Intelligent Models and Applications, 2009. HIMA '09. IEEE Workshop on
Conference_Location :
Nashville, TN
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2758-1
DOI :
10.1109/HIMA.2009.4937823