• DocumentCode
    3428815
  • Title

    The prediction of the earthquake based on neutral networks

  • Author

    Huang Sheng-zhong

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Math. & Comput. Sci., Liuzhou Teachers´ Coll., Liuzhou, China
  • Volume
    2
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    25-27 June 2010
  • Abstract
    In order to predict the magnitude of the serious earthquake in future time in a seismic area, the probabilistic neutral network was established depending on mathematically computed parameters known as seismicity indicators. The indicators concerned are the time elapsed during a especial number (n) of critical seismic events before the day in question, the inclination of the Gutenberg_Richter inverse power rule curve for the n events, the average deviation relative to the regression limit depended on the Gutenberg_Richter inverse power rule for the n events, the mean magnitude of the last n events, the variable between the observed maximum magnitude for the last n events and that expected based on the Gutenberg_Richter relationship named the magnitude deficit, the rate of square root of seismic energy released in the procession of the n events, the average time between characteristic events, and the coefficient of variation of the average time. The PNN model can be used to predict earthquakes with magnitude effectively.
  • Keywords
    earthquakes; geophysics computing; neural nets; probability; seismology; Gutenberg Richter inverse power rule; PNN model; earthquake prediction; mathematically computed parameter; probabilistic neutral network; seismic energy; seismicity indicator; Bayesian methods; Biological system modeling; Computer networks; Earthquakes; Mathematics; Neural networks; Predictive models; Probability; Recurrent neural networks; Statistics; earthquake; neutral networks; prediction;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Computer Design and Applications (ICCDA), 2010 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Qinhuangdao
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-7164-5
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-7164-5
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICCDA.2010.5541341
  • Filename
    5541341