DocumentCode :
3428815
Title :
The prediction of the earthquake based on neutral networks
Author :
Huang Sheng-zhong
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Math. & Comput. Sci., Liuzhou Teachers´ Coll., Liuzhou, China
Volume :
2
fYear :
2010
fDate :
25-27 June 2010
Abstract :
In order to predict the magnitude of the serious earthquake in future time in a seismic area, the probabilistic neutral network was established depending on mathematically computed parameters known as seismicity indicators. The indicators concerned are the time elapsed during a especial number (n) of critical seismic events before the day in question, the inclination of the Gutenberg_Richter inverse power rule curve for the n events, the average deviation relative to the regression limit depended on the Gutenberg_Richter inverse power rule for the n events, the mean magnitude of the last n events, the variable between the observed maximum magnitude for the last n events and that expected based on the Gutenberg_Richter relationship named the magnitude deficit, the rate of square root of seismic energy released in the procession of the n events, the average time between characteristic events, and the coefficient of variation of the average time. The PNN model can be used to predict earthquakes with magnitude effectively.
Keywords :
earthquakes; geophysics computing; neural nets; probability; seismology; Gutenberg Richter inverse power rule; PNN model; earthquake prediction; mathematically computed parameter; probabilistic neutral network; seismic energy; seismicity indicator; Bayesian methods; Biological system modeling; Computer networks; Earthquakes; Mathematics; Neural networks; Predictive models; Probability; Recurrent neural networks; Statistics; earthquake; neutral networks; prediction;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Computer Design and Applications (ICCDA), 2010 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Qinhuangdao
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7164-5
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7164-5
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICCDA.2010.5541341
Filename :
5541341
Link To Document :
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