Title :
Fuzzy logic based automatic rule generation and forecasting of time series
Author :
Palit, Ajoy Kumar ; Popovic, D.
Author_Institution :
Bremen Univ., Germany
Abstract :
An algorithm is proposed that automatically generates the fuzzy rules from time series data and can subsequently be used for forecasting of the same time series. The effectiveness of the algorithm, measured by the performance indices such as the sum squared error (SSE), root mean squared error (RMSE/MSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE), is demonstrated on forecasting of chaotic time series, as well as on forecasting of homogeneous non-stationary time series with and without seasonality and trend components.
Keywords :
chaos; forecasting theory; fuzzy logic; mean square error methods; time series; automatic rule generation; chaotic time series; fuzzy logic; fuzzy rules; homogeneous nonstationary time series; mean absolute error; performance indices; root mean squared error; sum squared error; time series forecasting; Chaos; Fellows; Fuzzy logic; Fuzzy sets; Partitioning algorithms; Predictive models; Time measurement; US Department of Energy;
Conference_Titel :
Fuzzy Systems Conference Proceedings, 1999. FUZZ-IEEE '99. 1999 IEEE International
Conference_Location :
Seoul, South Korea
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-5406-0
DOI :
10.1109/FUZZY.1999.793266