Title :
Fuzzy cognitive maps for policy analysis
Author_Institution :
Purdue Univ., South Bend, IN, USA
Abstract :
Fuzzy cognitive maps are introduced as a way to model state changes in a dynamic system where policy and technological components must be directly compared. To illustrate the process of developing a map and infer state changes from it, an action/reaction arms race of the Richardson type is modeled. Because fuzzy cognitive maps qualitatively capture the essential interactions of a system, numerical predictability of outputs is lost. Instead, the user is gaining a more seemless way to compare information and artifacts that have lack a common numerical measure
Keywords :
cognitive systems; fuzzy systems; government policies; weapons; Richardson-type action/reaction arms race; artifacts; dynamic system; fuzzy cognitive maps; information; policy analysis; policy components; state change modelling; technological components; Arm; Cost benefit analysis; Differential equations; Environmental economics; Fuzzy cognitive maps; Gain measurement; Procurement; Production systems; USA Councils; Weapons;
Conference_Titel :
Technology and Society Technical Expertise and Public Decisions, 1996. Proceedings., 1996 International Symposium on
Conference_Location :
Princeton, NJ
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-3345-4
DOI :
10.1109/ISTAS.1996.541174