Title :
Predict time series using extended, unscented, and cubature Kalman filters based on feed-forward neural network algorithm
Author :
Safarinejadian, B. ; Tajeddini, M.A. ; Ramezani, A.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electr. Eng., Shiraz Univ. of Technol., Shiraz, Iran
Abstract :
Successful application of artificial neural networks (ANNs) in prediction of nonlinear systems with a high degree has made extensive studies in this field. Time-varying, dynamic properties, as well as internal noise, are the problems that occur in prediction of nonlinear systems. The advantages of nonlinear filtering algorithms are controlling the addictive noise and high accurate estimation during the implementation process. This paper explores the use of time-series forecasting algorithms by combining nonlinear filters with feedforward neural networks. In this paper, space state equations and measurement of non-linear filters are written based on the weights and output of the ANNs. In other word, the extended, unscented, and cubature Kalman filters is used for training the feed-forward neural network (FNN). To evaluate the proposed method, these techniques have been used to forecast Mackey-Glass time series. The overall accuracy of cubature Kalman filter is better than the two others. The results are also confirmed by computer simulations.
Keywords :
Kalman filters; feedforward neural nets; learning (artificial intelligence); nonlinear filters; time series; ANN; CUBATURE Kalman FILTERS; FNN; Mackey-Glass time series forecasting; addictive noise control; artificial neural network; extended Kalman filter; feed-forward neural network training; nonlinear filter measurement; nonlinear filtering; nonlinear system prediction; space state equation; time series prediction; time-varying property; unscented Kalman filter; Equations; Kalman filters; Mathematical model; Neural networks; Noise; Prediction algorithms; Time series analysis; Time series forecasting; feed-forward neural networks; non-linear Kalman filters;
Conference_Titel :
Control, Instrumentation, and Automation (ICCIA), 2013 3rd International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Tehran
DOI :
10.1109/ICCIAutom.2013.6912827