Title :
Foresight communication and new modes of mobility building consistent scenarios for achieving the elusive target electric mobility
Author :
Kollosche, Dipl Soz Ingo
Author_Institution :
Inst. fur Land- und Sehverkehr, Tech. Univ. Berlin, Berlin, Germany
Abstract :
In this paper I aim to combine the theoretical connections between systemic thinking and scenario method [1] as well as the communication and shaping of future mobility systems. This last aim is an inherent task of futures research. We will present the main results of a scenario process for electric mobility in Berlin 2025. Furthermore we set the scenarios in a broader context of new modes of mobility. The power of scenarios consists in the ability to challenge dominating paradigms. [2] But it is not an automatic process. The communication of scenarios as well as the strategic implementation in different policy fields is the true challenge of planning and futures research. The intelligence and reasonableness of this kind of future communication will decide on the successful diffusion of electric mobility and the emergence of new forms of mobility in general.
Keywords :
government policies; elusive target electric mobility; foresight communication; planning; policy fields; scenario method; strategic implementation; systemic thinking; theoretical connections; Batteries; Context; Design methodology; Economics; Fuel cells; Strategic planning; electric mobility; futures research; methodological design; scenario planning; system thinking;
Conference_Titel :
Electric Vehicle Symposium and Exhibition (EVS27), 2013 World
Conference_Location :
Barcelona
DOI :
10.1109/EVS.2013.6914878