Identifying models of HVAC systems using semiparametric regression

Heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems use a large amount of energy, and so they are an interesting area for efficiency improvements. The focus here is on the use of semiparametric regression to identify models, which are amenable to analysis and control system design, of HVAC systems. This paper briefly describes two testbeds that we have built on the Berkeley campus for modeling and efficient control of HVAC systems, and we use these testbeds as case studies for system identification. The main contribution of this work is that the use of semiparametric regression allows for the estimation of the heating load from occupancy, equipment, and solar heating using only temperature measurements. These estimates are important for building accurate models as well as designing efficient control schemes, and in our other work we have been able to achieve a reduction in energy consumption on a single room testbed using heating load estimation in conjunction with the learning-based model predictive control (LBMPC) technique. Furthermore, this framework is not restrictive to modeling nonlinear HVAC behavior, because we have been able to use this methodology to create hybrid system models that incorporate such nonlinearities.