Title :
Multivariate Nonlinear Prediction of Shenzhen Stock Price
Author :
Liu, Lixia ; Ma, Junhai
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Manage., Tianjin Univ., Tianjin
Abstract :
In this paper, an attempt is made to predict stock price movement on Shenzhen stock market of China with nonlinear dynamical theory. Multivariate nonlinear prediction method based on multidimensional phase space reconstruction is considered. We propose a multivariate nonlinear model in forecasting stock price, and compare the prediction accuracy of our model with univariate nonlinear prediction model. The results show that multivariate nonlinear prediction model outperforms univariate nonlinear prediction model. Multivariate nonlinear prediction model is a useful tool for stock price prediction in emerging markets.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; nonlinear dynamical systems; stock markets; Shenzhen stock price; forecasting stock price; multidimensional phase space reconstruction; multivariate nonlinear prediction; nonlinear dynamical theory; Accuracy; Delay effects; Economic forecasting; Linear regression; Multidimensional systems; Nonlinear dynamical systems; Prediction methods; Predictive models; Stock markets;
Conference_Titel :
Wireless Communications, Networking and Mobile Computing, 2007. WiCom 2007. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Shanghai
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1311-9
DOI :
10.1109/WICOM.2007.1018