DocumentCode
3506295
Title
Risk prediction of project scheduling based cloud model
Author
Kong, Deyu ; Liu, Lu ; Miao, Rui ; Yin, Lu
Author_Institution
Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Beihang Univ., Beijing
Volume
2
fYear
2008
fDate
12-15 Oct. 2008
Firstpage
2553
Lastpage
2557
Abstract
In project scheduling management, cloud operation and cloud model are introduced for a better consideration of both randomicity and fuzziness in project scheduling, as well as their relationship, giving us a clearer view of uncertainty in the project. Traditional methods, like probability statistics analysis and fuzzy mathematics, focus on their respective fields, that is, the former attaches more importance on randomicity while the latter considers fuzziness only. Based on the normal cloud model of project optimal scheduling, we have calculated the certainty index of completion probability and completion risk, and also made a relative analysis of randomicity and fuzziness, so that more information is provided for project management and decision.
Keywords
fuzzy set theory; probability; project management; risk management; scheduling; statistical analysis; cloud model; fuzzy mathematics; probability statistic analysis; project optimal scheduling management; random relative analysis; risk prediction; cloud model; fuzziness; project scheduling; randomicity; uncertainty;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Service Operations and Logistics, and Informatics, 2008. IEEE/SOLI 2008. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Beijing
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-2012-4
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-2013-1
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/SOLI.2008.4682966
Filename
4682966
Link To Document