• DocumentCode
    3506295
  • Title

    Risk prediction of project scheduling based cloud model

  • Author

    Kong, Deyu ; Liu, Lu ; Miao, Rui ; Yin, Lu

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Beihang Univ., Beijing
  • Volume
    2
  • fYear
    2008
  • fDate
    12-15 Oct. 2008
  • Firstpage
    2553
  • Lastpage
    2557
  • Abstract
    In project scheduling management, cloud operation and cloud model are introduced for a better consideration of both randomicity and fuzziness in project scheduling, as well as their relationship, giving us a clearer view of uncertainty in the project. Traditional methods, like probability statistics analysis and fuzzy mathematics, focus on their respective fields, that is, the former attaches more importance on randomicity while the latter considers fuzziness only. Based on the normal cloud model of project optimal scheduling, we have calculated the certainty index of completion probability and completion risk, and also made a relative analysis of randomicity and fuzziness, so that more information is provided for project management and decision.
  • Keywords
    fuzzy set theory; probability; project management; risk management; scheduling; statistical analysis; cloud model; fuzzy mathematics; probability statistic analysis; project optimal scheduling management; random relative analysis; risk prediction; cloud model; fuzziness; project scheduling; randomicity; uncertainty;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Service Operations and Logistics, and Informatics, 2008. IEEE/SOLI 2008. IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Beijing
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2012-4
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2013-1
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/SOLI.2008.4682966
  • Filename
    4682966