DocumentCode
3509066
Title
The Model and Application of the Investment Risk Comprehensive Evaluation about the Electric Power Project Based on BP Neural Network
Author
Liu, Zhibin ; Xiong, Fengshan
Author_Institution
Econ. & Manage. Dept., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding
fYear
2007
fDate
21-25 Sept. 2007
Firstpage
5188
Lastpage
5191
Abstract
The power projects face the uncertain external environment, they are complex of the projects themselves and the capabilities of the designers, erectors and operator are limited, which make the risk indicators of the power projects investment are extremely complicated, including financial risk, technology risk, production risk, market risk, management risk and environmental risk In order to evaluate the risk investment projects scientifically and accurately, according to the principle of BP neural network, this paper proposes the BP neural network model for the risk evaluation of the power project investment. The model not only can simulate the expert in evaluating the investing risk, but also avoid the subjective mistakes in the evaluation process. The investment risk evaluation of 16 power projects in National Power Company shows that the results given by this model are reliable, and this method to forecast the power project investment risk is feasible.
Keywords
backpropagation; neural nets; power engineering computing; power system economics; risk management; backpropagation neural network; electric power project; investment risk comprehensive evaluation; Energy management; Environmental management; Financial management; Investments; Neural networks; Predictive models; Production; Project management; Risk management; Technology management;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Wireless Communications, Networking and Mobile Computing, 2007. WiCom 2007. International Conference on
Conference_Location
Shanghai
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-1311-9
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/WICOM.2007.1270
Filename
4341045
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