DocumentCode :
3529501
Title :
Real-time online forecasting model of ship rolling motion based on chaotic online LSSVM
Author :
Liu, Sheng ; Yang, Zhen
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Autom., Harbin Eng. Univ., Harbin, China
Volume :
Part 3
fYear :
2011
fDate :
3-5 Sept. 2011
Firstpage :
1732
Lastpage :
1736
Abstract :
Considering the chaotic characteristics of ship rolling time series, the new real-time forecasting method is proposed to further enhance accuracy and real-time of the prediction model based on support vector machines in the prediction of ship rolling motion, which utilizes phase space reconstruction theory of chaotic systems and online LSSVM. Delay time and delay time window are estimated by C-C method, and then the chaotic online LSSVM real-time prediction model is established. The experiments of ship rolling time series prediction are done. The simulation results indicate the real-time prediction method can more effectively improve the convergence rate and the prediction precision and extend prediction time at the same time, which is compared to the combination prediction model based on support vector machine and neural network.
Keywords :
chaos; control engineering computing; delays; motion control; neural nets; phase space methods; ships; support vector machines; time series; C-C method; chaotic online LSSVM; chaotic systems; delay time window; neural network; phase space reconstruction theory; real time online forecasting model; ship rolling motion; ship rolling time series; support vector machines; Delay; Equations; Marine vehicles; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Real time systems; Time series analysis; C-C method; Ship rolling; chaotic time series; online LSSVM; prediction;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management (IE&EM), 2011 IEEE 18Th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Changchun
Print_ISBN :
978-1-61284-446-6
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICIEEM.2011.6035499
Filename :
6035499
Link To Document :
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