DocumentCode :
3532781
Title :
Expected utility of a one-dimensional classical risky generalized lottery of I and III type With linearly interpolated CDF
Author :
Nikolova, N.D. ; Toneva, D. ; Ginchev, I. ; Tenekedjiev, K.
Author_Institution :
Dept. Econ. & Manage., Tech. Univ., Varna, Bulgaria
fYear :
2010
fDate :
7-9 July 2010
Firstpage :
137
Lastpage :
143
Abstract :
The paper deals with ranking risky alternatives whose consequences form a one-dimensional piece-wise continuous set where the uncertainty is described by a classical one-dimensional CDF, with possible discontinuities. The alternatives can be modeled as one-dimensional classical risky generalized lotteries of either type I or III. The expected utility of such lotteries is represented as a Riemann-Stieltjes integral, whose form in the special cases of continuous and of discrete CDF is known. This paper gives a formula of the expected utility integral for the case when CDF is of mixed character, and is linearly interpolated with discontinuities, whereas the utility function is continuous. A special case for linearly interpolated utility function at arbitrary preferences is developed. The results are useful when the uncertainty in each alternative is described by p-boxes, which depending on the selected Q criterion under strict uncertainty are approximated by classical risky generalized lotteries of type I or III, called Q-lotteries. Often, the latter have extreme expected utilities from the set of all classical risky lotteries with classical CDF described by the p-box. Therefore the Q-lotteries often coincide with the type of lotteries analyzed here. Therefore, the results of the paper are important when making choices with interval probabilities.
Keywords :
integral equations; interpolation; risk management; utility theory; Q criterion; Riemann Stieltjes integral; expected utility integral; linearly interpolated CDF; one dimensional classical risky generalized lottery; p-boxes; piecewise continuous set; uncertainty; Delta modulation; Distribution functions; Environmental economics; Probability; Protection; Uncertainty; Utility theory; Riemann-Stieltjes integral; expected utility; linearly interpolated CDF;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Systems (IS), 2010 5th IEEE International Conference
Conference_Location :
London
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-5163-0
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-5164-7
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/IS.2010.5548365
Filename :
5548365
Link To Document :
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