DocumentCode :
3561615
Title :
Study of daily peak load forecasting by structured representation on genetic algorithms for function fitting
Author :
Nakajima, K. ; Yukita, K. ; Goto, Y. ; Mizuno, K. ; Ichiyanagi, K.
Author_Institution :
Aichi Inst. of Technol., Nagoya, Japan
Volume :
1
fYear :
2004
Firstpage :
385
Abstract :
In recent years, the user who introduces the small-scale power generation facilities (solar photovoltaic generation, wind power generation, micro gas turbine, and fuel cell) increases the power system deregulation. The electric power system becomes more and more complicated. Therefore, we thought that the electric power demand forecasting was required in order to operate economically and with high efficiency. This paper presents a method of short-term load forecasting by STROGANOFF (i.e. structured representation on genetic algorithms for nonlinear function fitting). The STROGANOFF is an hierarchical technique of multiple regression analysis method and GA-based search strategy that approximates the value of prediction to the future data by the past data. Considering local information, the examination was carried out using the electric demand data of this campus with power generation facilities.
Keywords :
demand forecasting; fuel cell power plants; gas turbine power stations; genetic algorithms; load forecasting; nonlinear functions; photovoltaic power systems; power generation planning; power system analysis computing; regression analysis; search problems; solar power stations; wind power plants; GA-based search strategy; STROGANOFF; daily peak load forecasting; electric power demand forecasting; fuel cell; function fitting; genetic algorithms; hierarchical technique; micro gas turbine; multiple regression analysis; nonlinear function fitting; short-term load forecasting; small-scale power generation facilities; solar photovoltaic generation; structured representation; wind power generation; Fuel cells; Genetic algorithms; Load forecasting; Photovoltaic systems; Power generation; Power generation economics; Solar power generation; Turbines; Wind energy generation; Wind power generation;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Universities Power Engineering Conference, 2004. UPEC 2004. 39th International
Print_ISBN :
1-86043-365-0
Type :
conf
Filename :
1492031
Link To Document :
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