• DocumentCode
    3572513
  • Title

    Dependence of increment in time series via large deviations

  • Author

    Kovalevskii, Artyom

  • Author_Institution
    Novosibirsk State Tech. Univ., Russia
  • Volume
    3
  • fYear
    2003
  • Firstpage
    262
  • Abstract
    Analysis of increments dependence is an actual problem in testing of data series. The classic way is estimating the autocorrelation function of time series increments. This estimates are rather small and mutually independent in the case of independent increments, while it can be large in the case of dependent increments. But sequential values of the autocorrelation function are small and dependent in many cases. To prove dependence of increments, we repeat autocorrelation calculations: we calculate estimates for autocorrelation of autocorrelation function. Values of this twice-autocorrelation function are appeared to be rather large. That is, probabilities to have such values under the independence hypothesis are very small. We calculate it using a theorem on large deviations. We apply these results to text analysis: the better a text the lesser this probability.
  • Keywords
    correlation theory; data analysis; probability; time series; autocorrelation function; data series testing; increment dependence; independence hypothesis; large deviations; probability; time series; time series increments;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Science and Technology, 2003. Proceedings KORUS 2003. The 7th Korea-Russia International Symposium on
  • Print_ISBN
    89-7868-617-6
  • Type

    conf

  • Filename
    1222876