• DocumentCode
    3580749
  • Title

    Decision support system for stock trading using multiple indicators decision tree

  • Author

    Nugroho, F. X. Satriyo D. ; Adji, Teguh Bharata ; Fauziati, Silmi

  • Author_Institution
    Fac. of Eng., Dept. of Electr. Eng. & Inf. Technol., Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, Indonesia
  • fYear
    2014
  • Firstpage
    291
  • Lastpage
    296
  • Abstract
    Decision support system using decision tree classification can be used for stock trading technical analysis. Technical analysis is a stock analysis method which solely based on interpreting stock´s price chart movement or trend. Historical stock prices and volume are used as variable input. The system is built based on financial market technical analysis indicators (Exponential Moving Average, Moving Average Convergence Divergence, Relative Strength Index, Money Flow Index, and parabolic Stop and Reverse). The proposed method is arrange indicators set into decision tree based on stock trading rules and it create buy, hold, and sell classes which represented decisions in trading. Decision classes then are analyzed for their profitability, geometric mean return, and cumulative wealth index. Furthermore sensitivity analysis is added into profitability analysis to obtain more positive value trading in decision making. The research purpose is to enhance decision making in technical stock trading. Compared to the single indicator decision tree multiple indicators offers 20% enhancement in decision making.
  • Keywords
    decision support systems; decision trees; financial data processing; profitability; sensitivity analysis; stock markets; cumulative wealth index; decision support system; decision tree classification; exponential moving average; financial market technical analysis indicators; geometric mean return; historical stock prices; historical stock volume; money flow index; moving average convergence divergence; multiple indicators decision tree; profitability analysis; relative strength index; sensitivity analysis; single indicator decision tree; stock trading rules; stock trading technical analysis; Decision support systems; Classification; Decision Support System; Decision Tree; Exponential Moving Average; Money Flow Index; Moving Average Convergence Divergence; Profitability Analysis; Relative Strength Index; Sensitivity Analysis; Stock Trading; Technical Analysis; parabolic Stop and Reverse;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Information Technology, Computer and Electrical Engineering (ICITACEE), 2014 1st International Conference on
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4799-6431-4
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICITACEE.2014.7065759
  • Filename
    7065759