Title :
A heuristic model of cascading line trips
Author :
Zhang, Jianfeng ; Alvarado, Fernando L.
Author_Institution :
Miswest ISO, Carmel, IN, USA
Abstract :
This paper proposes a stochastic model to predict cascading line trips. It is our assumption that a "property calibrated" version of this heuristic model is capable of approximately capturing the roles of both static and transient phenomena in propagating disturbances in electric power systems. The paper illustrates the calibration of the model through logistic regression. Potential applications are discussed.
Keywords :
failure analysis; power system interconnection; power system security; power system transients; power transmission faults; power transmission protection; regression analysis; stochastic processes; cascading line trip; electric power system disturbance propagation; heuristic model; logistic regression; power system security; property calibrated version; static phenomena; stochastic model; transient phenomena; transmission line; Economic forecasting; Logistics; Power generation economics; Power system faults; Power system modeling; Power system protection; Power system reliability; Power system security; Power system transients; Predictive models;
Conference_Titel :
Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, 2004 International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
0-9761319-1-9
