Title :
Network Approach for Detecting Macroeconomic Instability
Author :
Grilli, Ruggero ; Tedeschi, Gabriele ; Gallegati, Mauro
Abstract :
In this paper we apply a modified version of the fitness network model of Bianconi-Barabàsi (B-B) with a constant number of nodes, to an economic environment composed by credit and interbank networks. Specifically, we implement a dynamic and heterogeneous fitness measure given by banks liquidity. By coupling together the macroeconomic agent-based model of [2] with the (B-B) fitness model, we aim to analyze the effect of the evolving financial interlink ages on the agents´ strategies, driven by the fitness, and the network topology, driven by system temperature. Moreover, we identify the critical threshold where the credit and interbank networks condensate and study the macroeconomic consequences (i.e. Production growth rate, bubbles and volatility clustering) of the phase transition.
Keywords :
banking; macroeconomics; multi-agent systems; network theory (graphs); stock markets; B-B fitness network model; Bianconi-Barabàsi fitness network model; bank liquidity; credit network; financial interlink age; financial market; interbank network; macroeconomic agent-based model; macroeconomic instability detection; production growth rate; volatility clustering; Analytical models; Correlation; Couplings; Economic indicators; Macroeconomics; Fitness model; business cycles; condensation; dynamic networks; volatility clustering;
Conference_Titel :
Signal-Image Technology and Internet-Based Systems (SITIS), 2014 Tenth International Conference on
DOI :
10.1109/SITIS.2014.96