A new method for flight delays forecast based on the recommendation system

Author

Zonglei, Lu ; Jiandong, Wang ; Tao, Xu

Author_Institution

Coll. of Comput. Sci. & Technol., Civil Aviation Univ. of China, Tianjin, China

Volume

1

fYear

2009

Firstpage

46

Lastpage

49

Abstract

A new method to forecast flight delays has been presented in this paper. This new method is based on content-based recommendation system. In the forecast model, the events ldquoflight delaysrdquo and airports have been mapped to users and items, respectively, which are the concepts in the recommendation system. According to the propagation of the delay, this new method alerts the target airport by monitoring the status of related airports. The observed status is compared with the history data in order to predict the seriousness of delay. Since the airborne hours between each two airports are usually more than an hour, this method could give the alarm at least 1 hour ahead. Besides, the method requires minimum online calculation, and therefore it guarantees that the delay forecast can be delivered in a quick and timely manner.

Keywords

aerospace computing; airports; delays; forecasting theory; information filters; airborne hours; content-based recommendation system; delay propagation; flight delay forecast; minimum online calculation; target airport; Airports; Delay effects; Delay systems; Educational institutions; Information science; Predictive models; Propagation delay; Space technology; Technology forecasting; Weather forecasting; data mining; delay forecast; delay propagation; flight delay; recommendation system;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Computing, Communication, Control, and Management, 2009. CCCM 2009. ISECS International Colloquium on

Print_ISBN

978-1-4244-4247-8

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/CCCM.2009.5268153

Filename

5268153