DocumentCode
3675798
Title
Enhanced time series forecasting by means of dynamics boosting for industrial process monitoring
Author
Daniel Zurita;Enric Sala;Jesús A. Carino;Miguel Delgado;Juan A. Ortega
Author_Institution
Department of Electronic Engineering, Technical University of Catalonia (UPC), MCIA research center, Rbla. San Nebridi s/n, 08222 Terrassa, Spain
fYear
2015
Firstpage
212
Lastpage
218
Abstract
Time series forecasting represents a critical factor, mainly in the industrial sector, in order to assure the proper operation of the manufacturing processes. In this work, a classical ANFIS forecasting scheme is enhanced by the proposal of a dynamics boosting strategy. First, the objective signal is decomposed by means of the Empirical Mode to highlight the main characteristics functions. Next, the dynamics of the functions in regard to the performance of the ANFIS is analyzed. Thus, the functions are separated into different sets. Then, the forecasting is faced with the employment of multiple ANFIS models focused on different dynamics modes. The performance of the proposed system is validated experimentally. According to the obtained results, the proposed approach outperforms the classical methods and represents a reliable and feasible methodology suitable to multiple applications.
Keywords
"Forecasting","Predictive models","Copper","Fuzzy logic","Adaptive systems","Analytical models","Manufacturing"
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Diagnostics for Electrical Machines, Power Electronics and Drives (SDEMPED), 2015 IEEE 10th International Symposium on
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/DEMPED.2015.7303692
Filename
7303692
Link To Document