Handling uncertainty in cloud resource management using fuzzy Bayesian networks

The success of cloud services depends critically on the effective management of virtualized resources. This paper aims to design and implement a decision support method to handle uncertainties in resource management from the cloud provider perspective that enables underlying complexity, automates resource provisioning and controls client-perceived quality of service. The paper includes a probabilistic decision making module that relies upon a fuzzy Bayesian network to determine the current situation status of a cloud infrastructure, including physical and virtual machines, and predicts the near future state, that will help the hypervisor to migrate or expand the VMs to reduce execution time and meet quality of service requirements. First, the framework of resource management is presented. Second, the decision making module is developed. Lastly, a series of experiments to investigate the performance of the proposed module is implemented. Experiments reveal the efficiency of the module prototype.