Title :
Parameter estimation for ARTA processes
Author :
Biller, Bahar ; Nelson, Barry L.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Manuf. & Operations Manage., Carnegie Mellon Univ., Pittsburgh, PA, USA
Abstract :
Providing accurate and automated input-modeling support is one of the challenging problems in the application of computer simulation. The models incorporated in current input-modeling software packages often fall short of what is needed because they emphasize independent ana identically distributed processes, while dependent time-series processes occur naturally in the simulation of many real-life systems. This paper introduces a statistical methodology for fitting stochastic models to dependent time-series input processes. Specifically, an automated and statistically valid algorithm is presented to fit ARTA (autoregressive-to-anything) processes with marginal distributions from the Johnson translation system to stationary univariate time-series data. The use of this algorithm is illustrated via a real-life example.
Keywords :
autoregressive processes; digital simulation; parameter estimation; time series; ARTA processes; Johnson translation system; automated input-modeling support; autoregressive-to-anything processes; computer simulation; dependent time-series processes; marginal distributions; parameter estimation; stationary univariate time-series data; statistical methodology; stochastic models; Application software; Autocorrelation; Computational modeling; Computer simulation; Distortion measurement; Fluid flow measurement; Manufacturing industries; Parameter estimation; Pressure measurement; Time measurement;
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference, 2002. Proceedings of the Winter
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-7614-5
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2002.1172893