MARKAL analysis of PV capacity and CO/sub 2/ emissions´ reduction in the US

Author

Fthenakis, Vasilis ; Morris, Sam

Author_Institution

Dept. of Environ. Sci., Brookhaven Nat. Lab., Upton, NY, USA

Volume

3

fYear

2003

fDate

18-18 May 2003

Firstpage

2607

Abstract

This analysis compares market penetration of grid-connected PV in the U.S. in the context of a fully competitive market. The MARKAL-MACRO integrated energy-environmental-economic model was used to simulate the US energy capacity for the next 30 years. Photovoltaic technologies were assumed to compete on cost alone with 52 other energy generation technologies in the US, in a deregulated environment. It was shown that PV can become cost-effective in both distributed and central power applications in the US, if current expectations of performance and cost reductions materialize. The predictions of this analysis compare well with the goals of the US photovoltaic industry roadmap.

Keywords

air pollution; carbon compounds; photovoltaic power systems; power distribution economics; power generation economics; power markets; pricing; CO/sub 2/; CO/sub 2/ emission reduction; MARKAL analysis; MARKAL-MACRO integrated energy model; PV capacity; US energy capacity; US photovoltaic industry roadmap; central power applications; cost reductions; distributed power applications; economic model; energy generation technologies; environmental model; grid connected PV; market penetration;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Photovoltaic Energy Conversion, 2003. Proceedings of 3rd World Conference on

Conference_Location

Osaka, Japan

Print_ISBN

4-9901816-0-3

Type

conf

Filename

1305125