• DocumentCode
    424056
  • Title

    Option pricing and trading with artificial neural networks and advanced parametric models with implied parameters

  • Author

    Panayiotis, Andreou C. ; Spiros, Martzoukos H. ; Chris, Charalambous

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Public & Bus. Adm., Cyprus Univ., Lefkosia, Cyprus
  • Volume
    4
  • fYear
    2004
  • fDate
    25-29 July 2004
  • Firstpage
    2741
  • Abstract
    We combine parametric models and feedforward artificial neural networks to price and trade European S&P500 Index options. Artificial neural networks are optimized on a hybrid target function consisted by the standardized residual term between the actual market price and the option estimate of a certain parametric model. Parametric models include: (i) the Black and Scholes model that assumes a geometric Brownian motion process (GBM); (ii) the Corrado and Su that additionally allows for excess skewness and kurtosis via a Gram-Charlier series expansion; (iii) analytic models that extend the GBM by incorporating multiple sources of Poisson distributed jumps; and (vi) stochastic volatility and jump models. Daily average implied parameters of these models are estimated with options transaction data via an unconstraint process optimized by the non-linear least squares Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm. This structural average implied parameters are used to validate the out-of sample pricing and trading (with transaction costs) ability of all models developed.
  • Keywords
    Brownian motion; Poisson distribution; artificial intelligence; feedforward neural nets; least squares approximations; pricing; Poisson distributed jump; feedforward artificial neural network; geometric Brownian motion process; market price; nonlinear least squares algorithm; parametric model; pricing; trading; Artificial neural networks; Costs; Electronic mail; Forward contracts; Information analysis; Least squares approximation; Parametric statistics; Pricing; Solid modeling; Stochastic processes;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Neural Networks, 2004. Proceedings. 2004 IEEE International Joint Conference on
  • ISSN
    1098-7576
  • Print_ISBN
    0-7803-8359-1
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/IJCNN.2004.1381086
  • Filename
    1381086