Title :
A modified particle swarm optimization for combining forecasting
Author :
Feng, X.Y. ; Wan, L.M. ; Liang, Y.C. ; Sun, Yick Fei ; Lee, H.P. ; Wang, Y.
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Comput. Sci. & Technol., Jilin Univ., Changchun, China
Abstract :
A modified particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is proposed. Linear constraints in the PSO are added to satisfy the normalization conditions for different problems. A hybrid algorithm based on the modified PSO and combining forecasting is presented. Combining forecasting can improve the forecasting accuracy through combining different forecasting methods. The effectiveness of the algorithm is demonstrated through the prediction on the sunspots and the stocks data. Simulated results show that the hybrid algorithm can improve the forecasting accuracy to a great extent.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; optimisation; combining forecasting; hybrid algorithm; particle swarm optimization algorithm; Computational modeling; Computer science; Computer science education; Educational technology; High performance computing; Knowledge engineering; Laboratories; Military computing; Particle swarm optimization; Predictive models;
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2004. Proceedings of 2004 International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-8403-2
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLC.2004.1382201