Title :
Fuzzy prediction of chaotic time series based on SVD matrix decomposition
Author :
Wang, Hong-Wei ; Gu, Hong ; Wang, Zhe-Long
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Autom., Dalian Univ. of Technol., China
Abstract :
A learning algorithm of fuzzy modeling based on fuzzy competitive learning and singular value decomposition (SVD) is proposed in this paper. First, fuzzy competitive learning is used to confirm the fuzzy space of input variables. In addition, the recursive least square based SVD method is used to confirm the consequent parameters of fuzzy model for the sake of accumulating and transferring of the errors of recursive least square. The structure and parameters of fuzzy model are confirmed by means of the proposed algorithm. To illustrate the performance of the proposed method, simulations on the chaotic Mackey-Glass time series prediction are performed. Combining either off-line or on-line learning with the proposed method, the simulating result shows that the chaotic Mackey-Glass time series are accurately predicted, and demonstrate the effectiveness.
Keywords :
fuzzy reasoning; singular value decomposition; time series; unsupervised learning; SVD matrix decomposition; chaotic Mackey-Glass time series prediction; chaotic system; fuzzy competitive learning; fuzzy modeling; fuzzy prediction; recursive least square; singular value decomposition; Chaos; Fuzzy systems; Least squares methods; Matrix decomposition; Parameter estimation; Partitioning algorithms; Predictive models; Recurrent neural networks; Singular value decomposition; Space technology; chaotic system; fuzzy competitive learning; recursive least square; singular value decomposition;
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2005. Proceedings of 2005 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Guangzhou, China
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-9091-1
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLC.2005.1527363