Title :
Using wavelet transform to improve generalization ability of neural network in next day load curve forecasting
Author :
Li, Chun-xiang ; Niu, Dong-xiao ; Meng, Ming
Author_Institution :
Inf. & Network Manage. Center, North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding
Abstract :
The net day load curve forecasting plays an important role for electric power system operation. Because of affecting by many factors, daily curve is composed by many regular wave trends and stochastic ones. This makes the poor efficiency and generalization capacity of neural network adopted in forecasting. By using discrete wavelet transform, the complicated load curve could be extracted to many simplex ones. After abnegating stochastic series, other extracting results are simulated by radial basis function (RBF) neural networks. Adding the forecasting results of neural network together, it will get the forecasting load. The tests show that the models brought forward in this paper is feasible.
Keywords :
discrete wavelet transforms; generalisation (artificial intelligence); load forecasting; power engineering computing; radial basis function networks; RBF; discrete wavelet transform; electric power system operation; generalization ability improvement; next day load curve forecasting; radial basis function neural networks; trend extraction; Artificial neural networks; Continuous wavelet transforms; Discrete wavelet transforms; Economic forecasting; Linear regression; Load forecasting; Neural networks; Power system management; Predictive models; Wavelet transforms; Discrete Wavelet Transform; Load Forecasting; Neural Network; Trend Extraction;
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2008 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Kunming
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2095-7
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2096-4
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLC.2008.4620648