Title :
Modeling of the Load Duration Curve Using the Asymmetric Generalized Gaussian Distribution: Case of the Tunisian Power System
Author :
Mohamed, Ould Mohamed M ; Jaïdane-Saïdane, M. ; Souissi, J.
Author_Institution :
Signals & Syst. Res. Unit, Ecole Nat. d´´Ing. de Tunis, Tunis
Abstract :
This paper proposes a new estimation technique of the load duration curve (LDC) which takes into account recent modifications of the load demand in the Tunisian power system (STEG) related to the increasing of the air conditioning load. This approach is based on the estimation of the hourly peak load distribution by asymmetric generalized Gaussian distribution (AGG). Numerical results indicate that AGG technique is accurate, efficient and robust.
Keywords :
Gaussian distribution; air conditioning; load forecasting; power generation scheduling; power system planning; air conditioning; asymmetric generalized Gaussian distribution; load duration curve; load forecasting; load modelling; power generation scheduling; power system planning; Air conditioning; Gaussian distribution; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Power system analysis computing; Power system modeling; Power system planning; Predictive models; Robustness; Shape measurement;
Conference_Titel :
Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, 2008. PMAPS '08. Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Rincon
Print_ISBN :
978-1-9343-2521-6
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-9343-2540-7
