Title :
Rational Conformity in Sequential Decision-Making: An Experiment of Information Cascades
Author :
Li, Jian-Biao ; Ju, Long ; Wang, Guang-Rong ; Fu, Peng
Author_Institution :
Bus. Sch., Center for Studies of Corp. Governance, Nankai Univ., Tianjin, China
Abstract :
Information cascade is a rational conformity behavior which is a type of evolutionary economizing the mental cost of agents. This paper addressed an experimental evidence of information cascades with six experiments employing 2 times 2 times 2 treatments in Tianjin. Results show: information cascades reversed less in the asymmetry setting; professional subjects are not employ Bayes rule more frequently than student subjects, and decision accuracy of professional subjects is not higher than that of student subjects; decision accuracy is independent of the order of decision-making; the consistency between private information of current agent and decision result of first agent in same group plays an important role on her behavior and decision accuracy; The accumulative gain/loss and gender of the agent are independent of her behavior; since the mental cost is discount relative to the decision cost in the loss domain, agents will increase the devotion of the mental.
Keywords :
commerce; design of experiments; information cascades; rational conformity behavior; sequential decision-making; Bayesian methods; Costs; Cultural differences; Decision making; History; Innovation management; Laboratories; Project management; Software engineering; Technological innovation; Bayes Rule; Bayesian; Experiment; Information Cascade; Sequential Decision-making;
Conference_Titel :
Software Engineering, 2009. WCSE '09. WRI World Congress on
Conference_Location :
Xiamen
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3570-8
DOI :
10.1109/WCSE.2009.132