Title :
Power system short-term load forecasting based on cooperative co-evolutionary immune network model
Author :
Ma, Xin ; Wu, Hong-Xiao
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Manage. & Economic, North China Univ. of Water Conservancy & Electr. Power, Zhengzhou, China
Abstract :
The main objective of short-term load forecasting (STLF) is to provide load predictions for generation scheduling, economic load dispatch and security assessment at any time. A new forecasting approach is designed in this paper and the novel method based on the cooperative co-evolutionary and the immune algorithm is proposed. The cooperative co-evolutionary immune network is used to evolve the structure and parameters of neural network. The proposed cooperative co-evolutionary immune network model has been implemented based on the actual data and compared with the traditional Radial-Basis Function (RBF) network method. The test results reveal that the cooperative co-evolutionary immune network method possesses far superior forecast precision than the Radial-Basis Function neural network method.
Keywords :
evolutionary computation; load forecasting; power engineering computing; power generation dispatch; power generation economics; power generation scheduling; power system security; radial basis function networks; STLF; cooperative coevolutionary immune network model; economic load dispatch; forecast precision; generation scheduling; immune algorithm; load predictions; neural network; power system short-term load forecasting; radial-basis function network method; security assessment; Algorithm design and analysis; Economic forecasting; Load forecasting; Neural networks; Power generation economics; Power system economics; Power system modeling; Power system security; Predictive models; Testing; Electricity power system; cooperative co-evolutionary immune algorithm; forecasting method; neural network; short-term load;
Conference_Titel :
Education Technology and Computer (ICETC), 2010 2nd International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Shanghai
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-6367-1
DOI :
10.1109/ICETC.2010.5529182