DocumentCode :
527512
Title :
Analysis of power load combination forecasting model based on improved particle swarm optimization
Author :
Niu, Dongxiao ; Wang, Hanmei ; Wei, Yanan
Author_Institution :
Dept. Econ. & Manage., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
Volume :
5
fYear :
2010
fDate :
10-12 Aug. 2010
Firstpage :
2591
Lastpage :
2594
Abstract :
As for the particularity of the power load forecasting, this paper presents a new power load combination forecasting model, that is, first select several basic load forecasting methods to forecast the results, and then select an improved particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm to optimize the weights of single-forecast results. According to the weights, calculate the weighted average of the single-forecast results, and the obtained value is the load forecast value. The empirical results show that the combination forecasting model combines the advantages of various methods, and greatly improves the accuracy of power load forecasting.
Keywords :
load forecasting; particle swarm optimisation; improved particle swarm optimization; power load combination forecasting model; single-forecast results; Forecasting; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Mathematical model; Optimization; Particle swarm optimization; Predictive models; combination forecasting model; improved particle swarm optimization algorithm; power load forecasting; single-forecast method; weight;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Natural Computation (ICNC), 2010 Sixth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Yantai, Shandong
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-5958-2
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICNC.2010.5583106
Filename :
5583106
Link To Document :
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