Title :
Grey - neural network combination forecast model of the world food consumption
Author :
Wang, Jiehao ; Xing, Yan ; Qin, Feihu ; Ma, Tianran ; Liang, Haonan
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Mech. & Civil Eng., China Univ. of Min. & Technol., Xuzhou, China
Abstract :
This paper puts forward a world food consumption forecast method, which is based on grey - neural network combination forecast model. Firstly, we make predictions according to the original data by using GM(1,1) and BP neural network respectively. Then we introduce proper weights and establish the grey - neural network combination forecast model. Finally, we get the results. Example proves that the method can raise forecast accuracy effectively and is a very effective and much more accurate grain consumption forecast model.
Keywords :
backpropagation; forecasting theory; grey systems; neural nets; social sciences computing; BP neural network; GM(1,1); grain consumption forecast model; grey-neural network combination forecast model; world food consumption forecast method; Computational modeling; BP neural network; GM(1,1); combination forecast; grain consumption; weighted coefficient;
Conference_Titel :
Information Networking and Automation (ICINA), 2010 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Kunming
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-8104-0
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-8106-4
DOI :
10.1109/ICINA.2010.5636421