DocumentCode :
552462
Title :
A fusion ANFIS model for forecasting EPS of leading industries in Taiwan
Author :
Wei, Liang-ying
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Inf. Manage., Yuanpei Univ., Hsinchu, Taiwan
Volume :
1
fYear :
2011
fDate :
10-13 July 2011
Firstpage :
1
Lastpage :
4
Abstract :
Earnings per share (EPS) is often regarded as a major indicator for investors to purchase stocks. The traditional approach is to use a conventional linear time series model for EPS prediction. However, the results would be in doubt when the forecasting problems are nonlinear. For this reason, this paper proposes a fusion forecasting model that incorporates an autoregressive model into an adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) To illustrate the proposed model, 15-quarter EPS data are employed. The experimental results indicate that the proposed model outperforms the listing models.
Keywords :
adaptive systems; autoregressive processes; forecasting theory; fuzzy reasoning; purchasing; stock markets; time series; EPS forecasting; Taiwan; adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system; autoregressive model; earnings per share; fusion ANFIS model; linear time series model; stock purchasing; Adaptation models; Adaptive systems; Autoregressive processes; Data models; Forecasting; Predictive models; Time series analysis; Adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system; Autoregressive model; Earning per share;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Cybernetics (ICMLC), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Guilin
ISSN :
2160-133X
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4577-0305-8
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLC.2011.6016700
Filename :
6016700
Link To Document :
بازگشت