• DocumentCode
    560345
  • Title

    Prediction of Energy Consumption and Production in HeilongJiang Province Based on GM (1,1) Model

  • Author

    Gao, Zhijie

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Econ. & Manage., Northeast Agric. Univ., Harbin, China
  • Volume
    1
  • fYear
    2011
  • fDate
    26-27 Nov. 2011
  • Firstpage
    271
  • Lastpage
    274
  • Abstract
    The economy and social development in HeilongJiang province is greatly influenced by energy production and consumption. In this paper, by using grey model (1,1), the primary energy consumption and production and electricity power consumption and production are respectively predicted. And it is concluded that when concerning primary energy, there will be evidently insufficient in its production, so that the alternative sources of energy should be developed as soon as possible. While in the electricity power, the future production not only exceeds the consumption but also their differences seem to be larger. So, the electricity production should be developed at a stable speed and the adjustment to production structure should be focused on.
  • Keywords
    economics; electric power generation; electricity supply industry; energy consumption; energy resources; grey systems; HeilongJiang Province; economic development; energy consumption prediction; energy production prediction; grey model; primary energy consumption; Accuracy; Electricity; Energy consumption; Equations; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Production; 1); GM (1; consumption; electricity power; primary energy; production;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Information Management, Innovation Management and Industrial Engineering (ICIII), 2011 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Shenzhen
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-61284-450-3
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICIII.2011.69
  • Filename
    6115477