• DocumentCode
    568785
  • Title

    An Improved Heuristic-Based Fuzzy Time Series Forecasting Model Using Genetic Algorithm

  • Author

    Jilani, T.A. ; Amjad, U. ; Jaafar, J. ; Hassan, S.

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Comput. Sci., Univ. of Karachi, Tronoh, Malaysia
  • Volume
    1
  • fYear
    2012
  • fDate
    12-14 June 2012
  • Firstpage
    242
  • Lastpage
    247
  • Abstract
    Fuzzy time series is being used for forecasting since last two decades and a lot of work has been done by different researchers to get better forecasting models and higher forecasting accuracy. In this paper a heuristic trend predictor is proposed based on fuzzy time series forecasting model. The model will uses genetic algorithm for adjusting interval length to get improved results. The proposed method will be applied on car road accidents causalities data of Belgium and hopefully will get better results than many other previous methods.
  • Keywords
    automobiles; forecasting theory; fuzzy set theory; genetic algorithms; road accidents; time series; transportation; Belgium; car road accident causalities data; forecasting accuracy; genetic algorithm; heuristic trend predictor; heuristic-based fuzzy time series forecasting model; interval length; Computers; Information science; Fuzzy aggregation operations; Fuzzy forecasting; Fuzzy logical relationship groups (FLRGs); fuzzy time series; genetic algorithm;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Computer & Information Science (ICCIS), 2012 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Kuala Lumpeu
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4673-1937-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICCISci.2012.6297247
  • Filename
    6297247