Title :
A fuzzy forecast method for network security situation based on Markov
Author :
Kuang, GuangCai ; Wang, XiaoFeng ; Yin, LiRu
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Internet of Things Eng., Jiangnan Univ., Wuxi, China
Abstract :
At present, network security attacks are numerous. Traditional single defense equipment and testing equipment are unable to meet the requirements of network security under the new circumstances. Therefore, the research on network security situation has become a hot topic in the field of network security. To enhance the accuracy and time effectiveness of the network security situation forecast, a fuzzy prediction method of network security situation based on Markov is proposed in this paper. The method is based on the Markov state transition matrix that depicts the correlation of network security and predicts the security status. By introducing the vulnerability information to build the membership degree of fuzzy security situation for the security status and integrating improved Zadeh formula, the prediction value of the network security situation is obtained. Finally, the effectiveness of the method is shown by the experiment results on KDD CUP99 data and DARPA2000 data.
Keywords :
Markov processes; forecasting theory; fuzzy set theory; security of data; DARPA2000 data; KDD CUP99 data; Markov state transition matrix; Zadeh formula; fuzzy forecast method; fuzzy prediction method; fuzzy security situation; network security attacks; network security situation; single defense equipment; testing equipment; vulnerability information; Markov processes; Radio frequency; Fuzzy Forecast; Markov; Network Security Situation; Zadeh formula;
Conference_Titel :
Computer Science and Information Processing (CSIP), 2012 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Xi´an, Shaanxi
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-1410-7
DOI :
10.1109/CSIP.2012.6308971