Title :
Mutivariable mutual information based feature selection for electricity price forecasting
Author_Institution :
Machine Learning & Cybern. Res. Center, South China Univ. of Technol., Guangzhou, China
Abstract :
In a competitive electricity market, the electricity price forecasting provides a useful information for suppliers to develop bidding strategies or to make investment decisions. Customers can also be benefit by scheduling their electricity consumption according to the electricity price. Selecting proper and useful features plays an essential role in improving the forecasting accuracy. In this paper, multivariable mutual information is applied for feature selection to select the more relation between the output price and the candidate input features. Support vector regression (SVR) is applied as the regression system. Experimental results show that the SVR with the proposed feature selection achieves more accurate prediction than ones with other well-known feature selection methods.
Keywords :
investment; load forecasting; power engineering computing; power markets; pricing; regression analysis; support vector machines; SVR; bidding strategies; candidate input features; competitive electricity market; electricity consumption; electricity price forecasting; feature selection methods; investment decisions; mutivariable mutual information; support vector regression; Abstracts; Forecasting; Robustness; Springs; Electricity price forecasting; Feature selection; Multivariable mutual information; Support vector regression;
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Cybernetics (ICMLC), 2012 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Xian
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-1484-8
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLC.2012.6358906