Title :
Sales forecast for pickup truck parts: A case study on brake rubber
Author :
Kamranfard, Mojtaba ; Kiani, Kourosh
Author_Institution :
Univ. of Semnan, Semnan, Iran
Abstract :
In this paper we address sales forecasting of brake rubber for 1600 pickup truck manufactured by Iran Khodro Co. To this end, we use two different methods named Neural Network (NN) and regression model. Further, we develop two types of neural networks, one general network and a set of monthly networks. Results reveal that when data are nonlinear and chaotic, traditional models like regression are less likely to be useful. In these cases we can use nonlinear models like neural networks. It is shown that general network is not a useful tool for forecasting sales of brake rubber, whereas monthly networks are accurate and useful for this purpose.
Keywords :
brakes; neural nets; regression analysis; road vehicles; rubber; sales management; Iran Khodro Co; brake rubber; chaotic data; neural network; nonlinear data; pickup truck parts; regression model; sales forecasting; Artificial neural networks; Autoregressive processes; Forecasting; Marketing and sales; Predictive models; Time series analysis; automotive industry; chaotic data; neural network; regression; sales forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Computer and Knowledge Engineering (ICCKE), 2012 2nd International eConference on
Conference_Location :
Mashhad
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-4475-3
DOI :
10.1109/ICCKE.2012.6395374