Title :
Bayesian criteria based on universal measures
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Math., Osaka Univ., Toyonaka, Japan
Abstract :
In the minimum description length (MDL) and Bayesian criteria, we construct description length of data zn = z1⋯zn of length n such that the length divided by n almost converges to its entropy rate as n → ∞, assuming zi is in a finite set A. In model selection, if we knew the true probability P of zn ϵ An, we would choose a model F such that the posterior probability of F given zn is maximized. But, in many situations, we use Q : An → [0,1] such that Σ(zn) ϵ (An) Q(zn) ≤ 1 rather than P because only data zn are available. In this paper, we consider an extension such that each of the attributes in data can be either discrete or continuous. The main issue is what Q is qualified to be an alternative to P in the generalized situations. We propose the condition in terms of the Radon-Nikodym derivative of P with respect to Q, and give the procedure of constructing Q in the general setting. As a result, we obtain the MDL/Bayesian criteria in a general sense.
Keywords :
Bayes methods; encoding; entropy; Bayesian criteria; Radon-Nikodym derivative; continuous data; discrete data; entropy rate; generalized situations; minimum description length; posterior probability; true probability; universal measures; Bayesian methods; Density functional theory; Encoding; Estimation; Markov processes; Random variables;
Conference_Titel :
Information Theory and its Applications (ISITA), 2012 International Symposium on
Conference_Location :
Honolulu, HI
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-2521-9