Title :
Temporal feature selection for time-series prediction
Author :
Hido, Shohei ; Morimura, Tetsuro
Author_Institution :
IBM Res. - Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
Abstract :
We present a feature selection method for multivariate time-series prediction. It aims to use the best sliding window size and delay for each explanatory variable, which are usually fixed. The idea is to convert the original time-series into a set of cumulative sum with different length. The combinations of cumulative sum variables obtaining nonzero weights in sparse learning algorithms represent the optimal temporal effects from explanatory variables to the target variable. Experiments show that the method performs better than conventional methods in regression problems.
Keywords :
data handling; feature extraction; higher order statistics; learning (artificial intelligence); regression analysis; time series; best sliding window size; cumulative sum variables; delay; explanatory variable; multivariate time series prediction; nonzero weights; optimal temporal effects; regression problem; sparse learning algorithms; temporal feature selection; Computational modeling; Delay; Hidden Markov models; Input variables; Pattern recognition; Prediction algorithms; Training;
Conference_Titel :
Pattern Recognition (ICPR), 2012 21st International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Tsukuba
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-2216-4