• DocumentCode
    596594
  • Title

    Prediction of chaotic time series based on the relevance vector machine

  • Author

    Sichao Zhang ; Ping Liu

  • Author_Institution
    Beijing Taiyanggong Gas-fired Thermal Power Co., Ltd., Beijing, China
  • fYear
    2012
  • fDate
    18-20 Oct. 2012
  • Firstpage
    314
  • Lastpage
    318
  • Abstract
    The prediction of chaotic time series is performed by relevance vector machine (RVM), which is an inherent online machine learning technique utilizing a flexible and sparse function without additional regularization parameters. The main objective of this approach is to increase the accuracy of the chaotic time series prediction. The method is applied to Mackey-Glass and Lorenz equations, Henon mapping which produce the chaotic time series to evaluate the validity of the proposed technique. Numerical experimental results confirm that the proposed method can predict the chaotic time series more effectively and accurately when compared with the existing prediction methods.
  • Keywords
    chaos; learning (artificial intelligence); time series; Henon mapping; Lorenz equations; Mackey-Glass equations; RVM; chaotic time series prediction; online machine learning technique; regularization parameters; relevance vector machine; Chaos; Data models; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Time series analysis;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Advanced Computational Intelligence (ICACI), 2012 IEEE Fifth International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Nanjing
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4673-1743-6
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICACI.2012.6463176
  • Filename
    6463176